Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.044665 0.051362 0.058354 0.066166 0.074620 0.083463 0.093383
2025-03-16 0.030512 0.039595 0.049774 0.061873 0.075714 0.090919 0.108747
2025-03-23 0.024399 0.035160 0.047953 0.063912 0.082932 0.104553 0.130667
2025-03-30 0.019825 0.031544 0.046248 0.065371 0.088945 0.116481 0.150507
2025-04-06 0.017172 0.029797 0.046378 0.068680 0.096904 0.130555 0.172842
2025-04-13 0.013670 0.026265 0.043689 0.067997 0.099621 0.138124 0.187331
2025-04-20 0.012539 0.025909 0.045082 0.072488 0.108783 0.153561 0.211390
2025-04-27 0.009758 0.022554 0.041916 0.070573 0.109478 0.158354 0.222368
2025-05-04 0.008695 0.021773 0.042311 0.073421 0.116339 0.170877 0.242938
2025-05-11 0.006981 0.019550 0.040303 0.072697 0.118303 0.177094 0.255620
2025-05-18 0.006028 0.018527 0.040009 0.074329 0.123394 0.187316 0.273375
2025-05-25 0.005135 0.017436 0.039476 0.075517 0.127821 0.196665 0.290056
2025-06-01 0.003534 0.014545 0.035843 0.072115 0.126116 0.198421 0.297740
2025-06-08 0.002292 0.011974 0.032418 0.068793 0.124402 0.200160 0.305528
2025-06-15 0.001915 0.011498 0.032727 0.071365 0.131226 0.213480 0.328581
2025-06-22 0.001521 0.010803 0.032522 0.073053 0.136757 0.225094 0.349504
2025-06-29 0.001335 0.010703 0.033463 0.076644 0.145155 0.240717 0.375859
2025-07-06 0.000904 0.009459 0.031912 0.075924 0.147027 0.247324 0.390271
2025-07-13 0.000853 0.009728 0.033568 0.080745 0.157358 0.265772 0.420628
2025-07-20 0.000500 0.008310 0.031360 0.078693 0.157095 0.269381 0.431093
2025-07-27 0.000413 0.008180 0.032031 0.081747 0.164740 0.284161 0.456698
2025-08-03 0.000238 0.007230 0.030637 0.080970 0.166354 0.290392 0.470754
2025-08-10 0.000165 0.006876 0.030632 0.082719 0.171946 0.302311 0.492605